- Between October 2022 and March 2023, Russia focused long-range strikes against Ukraine’s national energy infrastructure. Air launched cruise missiles (ALCMs), especially the modern AS-23a KODIAK, were at the heart of most of these strike missions. Russia uses strategic bomber aircraft to release these munitions from deep within Russian territory.
- Open source reports suggest that since April 2023, ALCM expenditure rates have reduced, while Russian leaders have highlighted efforts to increase the rate of cruise missile production.
- Russia is therefore likely able to generate a significant stockpile of ALCMs. There is a realistic possibility Russia will again focus these weapons against Ukrainian infrastructure targets over the winter.
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 16 September 2023.
— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) September 16, 2023
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Ukrainian Defense Forces posted a video taken by a reconnaissance drone of the US supplied loitering munitions hitting the Russian “Tor” surface-to-air missile.
Oct. 30