- Russian efforts to repair the Crimean Bridge continue but it is unlikely to be fully operational until at least September 2023.
- On 8 November the road bridge was due to be closed to allow the movement and installation of a replacement 64-metre span. Three more spans will be required to replace the damaged road sections.
- Although Crimean officials have claimed these additional spans will be in place by 20 December, a briefing provided to President Putin added that works to the other carriageway would cause disruption to road traffic until March 2023.
- Replacement of the damaged rail bridge has been contracted for completion by September 2023, although Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister stated the repair timeline would be expedited.
- One track is open, but rail transport remains restricted. Repair activity will be heavily dependent on weather conditions through the winter months.
- The Crimean bridge attack has disrupted Russian logistics supplies for Crimea and southern Ukraine, reducing Russia’s ability to move military equipment and troops into the area by rail or road.
- The damage to the bridge, the recent attack on the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol and the probable withdrawal from Kherson all complicate the Russian government’s ability to paint a picture of military success.
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The alleged peace plan also suggests freezing the current front lines by establishing a demilitarized zone without using US or UN forces to police it.
Nov. 7